ماذا بعد اجتماع الفيدرالي الامريكي ؟
توقعات الذهب اليوم و الداو جونز
توقعات الذهب اليوم
اتجاة صاعد لكن بحرص
ارتفعت اسعار الذهب الأسبوع الماضي بالقرب من أعلى مستوياته التاريخية بعد اجتماع الفومك الأسبوع الماضي وصل إلى 2067 دولارًا للأونصة ، واقترب من أعلى مستوى له على الإطلاق عند 2075 دولارًا.
الاتجاه العام لا يزال يدعم الصعود مع ثبات الدعم الأسبوعي ١٩٨٨ – ١٩٥٠ دولار
على الرغم من أن مؤشر القوة النسبية (RSI) على الرسم البياني الأسبوعي يهدد بانحراف سلبي محتمل
على الإطار الزمني اليومي يظل السعر ضمن حدود القناة الصعودية المأخوذة من 1934 دولارًا إلى 2009 دولارًا
يدعم القناة السعرية الصاعدة مستوي دعم 1949 دولارًا ، مدعوما كذالك بالمتوسط المتحرك البسيط لمدة 50 يومًا عند 1952 دولارًا
المقاومة الأسبوعية – أعلى مستوى على الإطلاق عند 2075 دولار – هي أيضًا هدف مقاومة واضح على المقياس اليومي.
(تابع توقعات الذهب اليوم)
اما على المدى القصير :
شهد يوم الجمعة هبوطًا قويًا على الإطار الزمني الساعة ، مدعومًا ببيانات الوظائف الأمريكية التي جاءت أقوى من المتوقع. شهد هذا اختبارًا للسعر لدي المقاومة 2000 دولار
مستويات ٢٠٠٠ و ٢٠٠٨. يمثلا مستويات دعم جيدة للشراء
للاتجاة لمقاومات ٢٠٢٢ و ٢٠٣٤ كمستويات مقاومة قصيرة المدي
الخلاصة في توقعات الذهب اليوم
توقعات الأسبوع القادم صعب في بدايتها لكن دعم مستوي ال ٢٠٠٠ يمثل إشارة هامة لبداية تداولات الأسبوع
اعلي ٢٠٠٠ ثبات واستمرار الشراء. للاتجاه نحو ٢٠٣٤ – ٢٠٥٧ واعلي
كسر مستويات ٢٠٠٠ الي اسفل سيوصل البحث عن دعم ١٩٧٠
ملحوظة في توقعات الذهب اليوم
من الناحية التاريخية ، أظهر الذهب ارتباطًا سلبيًا قويًا بعوائد سندات الخزانة الأمريكية ، ولا سيما سندات الخزانة الأمريكية لأجل 10 سنوات ، والتي اتجهت هبوطيًا في بداية الأسبوع. إذا توقعت الأسواق انخفاضًا في سعر الفائدة على الأموال الفيدرالية ، فإن سندات الخزانة عادة ما تتبع نفس المسار مما يعني أن انخفاض العوائد من المقرر أن يدعم أسعار الذهب في المستقبل. كل هذا يعتمد على التضخم الأساسي وما إذا كان بنك الاحتياطي الفيدرالي يمكنه إيقاف تأثير الدومينو لإخفاقات البنوك التي تتشكل حاليًا.
Gold Prices Exhibiting a Negative Correlation with US 10-Year Treasury Yields by Richard Snow
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مؤشر داو جونز الصناعي
اجهز للصعود
أنهى مؤشر داو جونز الصناعي الأسبوع على انخفاض بنسبة -1.2٪. على الرغم من ذلك ، كانت حركة السعر مثيرة للاهتمام .
(توقعات الذهب اليوم و الداو جونز )
علي الإطار الزمني الأسبوعي الشراء هو المفضل في الوقت الحالي.
مع استمرار نفس النمط الصاعد منذ كسر الاتجاة الهابط المأخوذة من أعلى مستوى عند 36.952 في نوفمبر 2022
ومن ثم الارتفاع حتي مستويات ٣٤٧١٢ التي تعتبر مقاومة حالية
(توقعات الذهب اليوم و الداو جونز )
بالنسبة للرسم البياني اليومي :
ارتدت الأسعار من مستويات ٣٢٩٠٠ و ٣٣٠٧١ لتكوين قاع بعد قاع سابق لدي مستوي ٣٣٢٣٥
لتعتبر تلك مستويات دعم جيدة جدا لاستمرار الاتجاه الصاعد
والاتجاه لدي مستويات مقاومة ٣٤٠٩٤
الدعم القريب لدي مستويات ٣٢٧١٧ – ٣٢٥٨٨
اهم اخبار الأسبوع في توقعات الذهب اليوم و الداو جونز
سيؤثر تقرير مؤشر أسعار المستهلكين الأمريكي الاسواق يوم الأربعاء. بعد تقرير الوظائف الأمريكي ، فإن تقرير مؤشر أسعار المستهلكين الأمريكي الذي جاء أعلى من المتوقع سوف يعيد الرهانات على رفع سعر الفائدة الفيدرالي في يونيو.
يوم الخميس ، ستجذب أرقام التضخم وطلبات إعانة البطالة اهتمام المستهلكين قبل صدور بيانات ثقة المستهلك يوم الجمعة.
يجب على المستثمرين تتبع ردود أفعال أعضاء اللجنة الفيدرالية للسوق المفتوحة على تقرير الوظائف الأمريكي وتقرير مؤشر أسعار المستهلكين الأمريكي الوارد.
قناتنا علي التيليجرام تحتوي علي الكثير من الاخبار الهامة
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